Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 34

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 13 May 2026 at 21:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is one of only 4 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 13 May 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 13 at 3:27PM EDT until May 13 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY

An estimated 17,787 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 13 May 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)34 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates43.6064, -76.8793
Nearest CityOswego (34 km)
Population Exposed17.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Date2026-05-13 — time not reported by the source
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d06e4cbadf02644496a1fadc4f287bf8

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescHamlin Beach to Sodus Bay NY; Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay NY; Mexico Bay NY to the St. Lawrence River; Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay NY beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay NY beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Mexico Bay NY to the St. Lawrence River beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay NY; Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay NY beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 13 at 3:27PM EDT until May 13 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
Expires2026-05-13T17:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Buffalo NY
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d06e4cbadf02644496a1fadc4f287bf836fbf3aa.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d6837ee6386d15c9f437990c329dee1365c07e08.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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